Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.009423 0.011202 0.013369 0.016252 0.020062 0.025041 0.032244
2025-06-08 0.007281 0.009389 0.012283 0.016715 0.023677 0.034894 0.056132
2025-06-15 0.005975 0.008093 0.011224 0.016489 0.025844 0.043596 0.086299
2025-06-22 0.004965 0.006941 0.010007 0.015503 0.026168 0.049134 0.117051
2025-06-29 0.004433 0.006385 0.009559 0.015619 0.028510 0.060431 0.182415
2025-07-06 0.004099 0.006072 0.009426 0.016241 0.032170 0.078211 0.322227
2025-07-13 0.003905 0.005950 0.009588 0.017477 0.037940 0.109105 0.716345
2025-07-20 0.003664 0.005706 0.009471 0.018080 0.042481 0.143231 1.661325
2025-07-27 0.003404 0.005391 0.009158 0.018144 0.045554 0.177572 4.125883
2025-08-03 0.003188 0.005128 0.008902 0.018276 0.049016 0.223457 15.687179
2025-08-10 0.002939 0.004775 0.008409 0.017678 0.049617 0.253977 69.366104
2025-08-17 0.002688 0.004395 0.007808 0.016664 0.048170 0.266820 392.892883
2025-08-24 0.002466 0.004069 0.007325 0.015989 0.048343 0.304035 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002346 0.003933 0.007241 0.016442 0.053933 0.436801 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002196 0.003720 0.006955 0.016221 0.056383 0.558231 NaN
2025-09-14 0.002018 0.003434 0.006463 0.015256 0.054444 0.594590 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001922 0.003306 0.006324 0.015370 0.058585 0.835771 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001862 0.003245 0.006334 0.015978 0.066470 1.435381 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001833 0.003248 0.006499 0.017186 0.080363 3.524092 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001777 0.003185 0.006490 0.017776 0.091135 8.571225 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001703 0.003078 0.006352 0.017838 0.097917 20.036488 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001638 0.002985 0.006237 0.017967 0.105972 72.849221 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001552 0.002839 0.005966 0.017383 0.105976 168.423163 NaN